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Nostradamus Intellect
Forecasts that can be proven wrong — sealed, dated, scored
Every forecast carries a locked probability, a resolution date, and the exact condition that would prove it wrong. Hash-sealed and Bitcoin-timestamped before the window opens, so it cannot be quietly rewritten. Graded in public, misses published at the same size as hits. 16 sealed, 0 graded — first verdict 28 Feb 2027.
Hey Product Hunt —
Quick disclaimer first: this is not decoded Nostradamus. No quatrain names 2027–2030, and the site says so on the record. We kept the long gaze and added a receipt.
What you can do in about ten seconds, free, no OAuth:
1. Open the ledger — 16 sealed calls. Each has a locked probability, a fixed judgment date, and a written condition that would make it incorrect.
2. Pick the one you think we have wrong, and seal your own number next to it. Yours locks exactly like ours and is graded by the same rule on the same day.
3. Open the alert log — every sector alert we have ever raised, including the ones that came to nothing. It is append-only. We cannot delete our own false alarms.
How it works, short: 8 named wires every 10 minutes → a published lexicon of 46 rules → 36 named strands → 24 hand-written couplings, each carrying a rationale and a historical precedent → a number with a kill-condition. A headline that cannot touch a strand does not enter a projection. There is no language model in the forecasting path.
A sector alert needs 2.5 sigma against that strand's own 30-day baseline, carried by 3 independent feeds. Most weeks nothing clears it, and the log shows the quiet.
On the money: 9 EUR opens one domain in full depth, 19 EUR opens all seven. Free and paid read the same Core — a pass buys filters, alerts and delivery, never a different probability.
What I will not claim: any accuracy at all. All 16 seals are still PENDING. The first public grade is 28 February 2027, against a scoring rule published in September 2026 while everything was still unresolved. Ask me again in March.
WHERE THIS IS GOING — AND AN ASK. The aim is a public instrument of record for the world-system: the place you check what was claimed, when, at what confidence, and whether it held. Forecasting has no equivalent of a court record today; everything is either an unfalsifiable take or a market price with no reasoning attached.
Right now this is one person, and the honest constraint is not ideas or code — it is hours. There is more built here than I can properly maintain and extend alone. So if you are an engineer, a forecasting or calibration person, or someone who has run a research desk, I would genuinely like to talk — co-founder, contributor, or just someone who tells me which coupling is wrong. Open-sourcing part of the engine is something I am actively weighing; the constants, couplings and lexicon are already public, so the remaining argument is about contribution rather than transparency. If you have a view on that, I want to hear it.
Ledger: https://nostradamusintellect.com...
Alert log: https://nostradamusintellect.com...
Engine room: https://nostradamusintellect.com...
If you open one thing, open a near-term seal and put your number beside ours. I am here in the comments today.
About Nostradamus Intellect on Product Hunt
“Forecasts that can be proven wrong — sealed, dated, scored”
Nostradamus Intellect was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 0 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #96 on the daily leaderboard. Every forecast carries a locked probability, a resolution date, and the exact condition that would prove it wrong. Hash-sealed and Bitcoin-timestamped before the window opens, so it cannot be quietly rewritten. Graded in public, misses published at the same size as hits. 16 sealed, 0 graded — first verdict 28 Feb 2027.
On the analytics side, Nostradamus Intellect competes within News, Artificial Intelligence and Data & Analytics — topics that collectively have 522k followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Nostradamus Intellect performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Nostradamus Intellect?
Nostradamus Intellect was hunted by Niko. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Nostradamus Intellect including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.
Niko